The Ministry for the Future, by Kim Stanley Robinson, is not as good as it could be, or should be, but it’s still worth reading, and even its shortcomings are interesting.
Let’s start with a synopsis and go on from there. I will avoid all but one spoiler, though.
Synopsis
The Ministry for the Future is a novel only in the sense that it is book-length narrative fiction, but readers who judge it according the a novel’s standard will find Ministry wanting, while missing most of what makes it an interesting book.
There are several narrative threads of various lengths, most of which intersect at least some of the others eventually. Some appear isolated, though not unrelated. The two longest of these concern Frank May and Mary Murphy.
Frank May is one of the few survivors of a heatwave that kills a startlingly large number of people in India. His psychological wounding from that incident becomes his most obvious characteristic, though he is a well-developed, intriguing, and fundamentally likable character beneath and beyond that wounding.
Mary Murphy is the diplomat who becomes the head of an international body nicknamed the Ministry for the Future, formed under the authority of the Paris Agreement in response to the Indian heatwave. Its brief is to advocate for people who are not yet born, hence its unofficial name (it seems not to have an official name). Essentially, this is the group charged with making international climate change happen, and Mary is its point person.
Frank’s story doesn’t have a plot arc. He simply lives his life while we watch. It is not an uneventful or unmeaningful life, it just doesn’t read like a story in the normal sense. Mary’s story contains the plot arc of the book, which is the story of climate action finally happening—and yet she is not exactly a protagonist, either.
Chapters following either Frank or Mary interweave with chapters following other characters (some we are given the names of, others not. Some have more than one chapter. Others don’t). These include several refugees, two slaves, at least one member of a violent non-state group, at least one member of the American military, a glaciologist, and at least one super-rich yahoo. Other threads also enter the weaving. There are essays on philosophy, psychology, history, economics (so many on economics), chapters where various allegorical entities (“the market,” “a photon,” and so on) speak, long passages summarizing history (mostly history set in or future). None of these are introduced, signaled, or in any way explained. The timeline, though running roughly from 2024 (the year of the Indian heatwave) to sometime after 2040, is unclear, with some events possible being presented to the reader out of strict chronological order. The book appears to be a giant mess by design.
Giant messes can work, though.
The one spoiler I do not believe I can avoid is that the world is, more or less, saved. I won’t give you the details, but the world is saved through a curious combination of grassroots political revolution, high-level diplomacy, and shadowy, extra-judicial violence—all coming together to trigger a sea-change in, of all things, international financial policy.
Review
I like the book, OK? But I liked it more at the middle than at the end. As a writer, I find the unusual structure, it’s identity as something not quite a novel, intriguing, and as a reader I found its hope believable a refreshing. The thing is, if you tell me everything is going to be fine because everyone will suddenly start doing the right thing tomorrow, I won’t believe you. If you tell me things will be close to OK eventually because a disaster in India triggered both a series of revolutions and the formation of a shadowy organization willing to engage in violence, well, I’m listening.
It’s not that I advocate violence, exactly, it’s that I don’t think certain very powerful people are going to get with the program voluntarily out of the goodness of their hearts. I regard violence as one plausible way to cut through that impasse. It’s not the only possibility, but it might work.
But the father into the future the book gets, the more easily the successes seems to come, the more simplistic the descriptions become. The nitty-gritty wrestling of individual characters with various Gordian knots is more and more supplanted by broadly sweeping descriptions of how the implementation of some briefly-described new policy made all sorts of previously intractable problems just go away. Perhaps the new policy could do that, if given the chance, but that’s not how to make it believable or interesting.
Other plausibility problems also add up. OK, so a shadowy group in India starts assassinating badguys—and the badguys don’t do anything about this? Even supposing that the badguys can neither effectively protect themselves nor target and counter-attack their enemies, you’d think they’d use their power and influence to at least do something reactionary and stupid (“the people targeting us are based in India? Great! Let’s get somebody to go bomb India for us!”), but they never do. Or how come there is no mention of merely irritating weirdly severe weather? There’s the monstrously killer heatwave in the first chapter, a later mention of a similar disaster on a smaller scale, and otherwise the weather is mostly pleasant and entirely typical of wherever the scene in question happens to be set. And so on.
And for all the attention to detail on economic policy, culture, and geography, there are great blocks of other sorts of detail just simply overlooked. For example, the rather sudden transition away from fossil fuel for shipping at least initially results in much slower shipping speeds, but apparently without causing any problems because as long as shipments are sent frequently they also arrive frequently—their taking longer to get there doesn’t matter. What? Say that to the lettuce on grocery shelves in February.
No book can cover everything, of course, there is a limit to the number of rabbit holes one author can explore, and Ministry is long enough as it is, but at a certain point, such glossing-over becomes distracting.
As impressed as I am by the boldly experimental structure of Ministry for the Future, I wonder if perhaps Mr. Robinson set himself too high a bar. After all, had this been an ordinary novel, with politics and philosophy and so forth taking a back seat to the protagonists’ plot arc, then the reader could ignore errors or shortcomings in the politics, etc., just as I routinely ignore the basic plausibility problems in my beloved Star Trek. But Ministry doesn’t exactly have protagonists because its main characters don’t have plot arcs. The politics and so forth is foreground, not background—so it has to be right. And it’s not, not quite.
Overall, Ministry for the Future is a good book, but it’s an A- or a B+ that reads like it could have been, should have been, an A+.
It’s frustrating.
Thoughts
But it is fair to judge this book by how well I liked it? While Ministry should be, and is, an engaging and enjoyable (though far from light) read, Mr. Robinson clearly has an agenda. He’s trying to accomplish something with this book.
So what’s he trying to accomplish, and does he pull it off?
A Novel Proposal
Ministry could be seen as an attempt to make various policy proposals interesting by wrapping them in fiction. And indeed, the policies and plans and projects the characters enact are described in enough detail as to provide a rough but real idea of what they’re for and why they might work. And while it’s true that very few of these proposals can be acted on directly by the majority of readers, Ministry has made it into the hands of at least one person who could act on it, and may in fact be doing so now, quietly, for all I know—Barack Obama. He really liked Ministry for the Future.
But the book has two shortcomings as a proposal.
One is that Ministry includes no clue as to which parts are made up and which are not. I happen to know that a lot of it is quite real, but there are some very important areas that I just can’t assess, mostly to do with the cultures of India and Switzerland. Another reader might have a different list of things they know verses things they don’t. Although novels typically mix made-up and real elements, often without making clear which is which, a book truly attempting to inform and persuade can’t neglect that type of clarity. You can’t learn from someone if you don’t know which things they tell you are true.
The other problem is that Ministry frames targeted assassinations as a good idea.
Now, we don’t live in a pacifist society—very few people would actually agree that there should be no violence at all, ever. In suggesting that certain forms of violence might be necessary, Ministry is not far outside of widely-accepted norms. But there are passages in which it comes very close to calling for the deaths of specific, real people. The passages never call out such people by name, but do assert that the leadership of certain companies and organizations are guilty of genocide by their deliberate blocking of climate inaction, and therefore deserve to die. And while the individuals aren’t named, the companies and organizations are.
Within the story, these aren’t metaphors or speculations—characters say these things and then carry out targeted assassinations. And these killings, together with other, less-targeted attacks, are central to the story. What are we, the readers, supposed to make of these passages? They are food for thought, certainly, but to take them as anything else is very, very serious.
For a fictional character to assert that the leadership of, say, ExxonMobil deserve to die wouldn’t be all that remarkable, but for a policy proposal dressed up as fiction to say the same thing is very different.
We can assume that Mr. Robinson did not mean his book to be taken too close to heart.
A Note of Hope
Ministry for the Future could function as a proposal, but it has severe shortcomings if seen in that way.
But the book can also do something else—it can provide a note of hope.
The hour is very late, we face very powerful opposition, and at this point it’s hard to imagine a happy ending to any of this. More than a few people understand climate change is real but are doing nothing about it because, as they explain, they believe there is no longer anything to be done.
But Mr. Robinson has imagined a path to success—and while some of the details seem iffy, overall, it’s plausible.
That’s why the book begins with a disaster—Mr. Robinson is saying look, I get it, it’s bad. But we can still win anyway, if everyone who cares fights hard, wherever they are, however they can, whatever that ends up meaning as we go forward.
If that’s the objective, then the execution is uneven, at times self-indulgent, and certainly better at the beginning of the book than at its end.
But it works. I feel better. And out of all the books on climate change I’ve read and reviewed on this blog, this is the first one I can say that about.